Elections and Constitutional Regimes

Recently, my posts in this blog have strayed dangerously from issues constitutional to matters political, a dangerous kind of slippage for anyone who purports to deal with the Constitution and its history. Nonetheless, the two are connected. Throughout history, the settlement of great constitutional questions has often been done politically rather than legally. But such change is usually tethered to elections and the kind of mandate that politicians can make from them. Is 2008 such a year?

Probably not. But before we analyze that, we need to lay some historical groundwork. There are very few national elections that we might call constitutionally transformative in our history. I would argue for the following elections as fitting within that category: 1800; 1860; 1896; 1936. Each of these elections brought not just policy change, but serious and new interpretations of the Constitution to bear against older alternatives. 1800, of course, makes the case for itself: the Federalists and the Democratic-Republicans cast the election in those terms, and there is no doubt that Jefferson's election set the terms for constitutional interpretation for the next sixty years. The unresolved question of the antebellum era was slavery, and those issues came to a head in the election of 1860, when a party won that was devoted to keeping slavery from the federal territories. It brought Civil War. The 1896 election was noted for the losers--the Populists. The subsequent co-opting of progressive reform into the Republican Party created the activist, muscular government (think Teddy after 1900) that enforced rules that the Supreme Court had attempted to subvert. Finally, 1936 was a repudiation of the Lochner-era laissez faire Constitution and the ushering in of the New Deal.

This is not to say that other elections have not had huge political impact. 1828 marked the birth of democratic participation in the presidential election; 1876 signaled the end of Reconstruction; 1912 demonstrated how divided the United States was (given that the socialist candidate netted a big percentage of the vote); 1968 spelled the end of Democratic dominance of national issues; 1980 brought conservatism into the mainstream. But these political changes (I would argue) did not necessarily auger the kind of constitutinal change that we might describe as transformative. They may have been transformative politically, but (to take but one example) the Reagan mantra of low taxes and higher defense spending was not in-and-of-itself a novel interpretation of the Constitution meant to replace rival views. It was, more properly, a policy disagreement with liberal democrats.

To return to 2008. I had initially imagined that *perhaps* we were living in a transformative age. The Bush White House has through a variety of means exerted executive power in new ways. When combined with a quiescent Congress (even after that Congress turned Democrat) it appeared that we were more and more coming within the gambit of an imperial presidency. The stakes, therefore, for this election seemed inordinately high. Would the next president augment that power, or bring the office within constitutional limits?

These issues, however, do not seem to animate the electorate. Not that they need to, of course--many of those who voted for Lincoln did not do so in order to change the Constitution. Nonetheless, the nation understood his electoral victory as the kind of mandate that would remove federal protection (and sponsorship) of slavery. It was enough to drive the slaveholding states to secession. And from their perspective, rightfully so. They saw the imminent end of slavery, even if that imminent end was not immediate emancipation, but rather the slow strangulation provided by refusing slaveholders access to western territories.

In this election, thus, we are confronted with a question that does not have an easy answer. Is anyone really concerned with the executive branch's grab for power in the past eight years? Are we concerned that our own civil liberties might be endangered by the Bush administration's (and Congress's) end-run around the suspension clause? (I refer here to the issues raised in Boumediene v. Bush, and encourage anyone interested in this subject to read my article in common-place about it.) Polls have focused either on the economy or Iraq, and news coverage has steadily ignored all constitutional issues, excepting abortion. (Mainstream coverage of this has, as usual, been awful.)

It was possible several months ago to see both Obama's candidacy and McCain's victory over Romney in the Republican primary as an indication that American voters were moving not just toward a new kind of politics, but repudiating the executive powermongers understanding of the Constitution.

I do not believe it is possible to view things that way now. Nonetheless, we are caught in the fog of war and perhaps this election might nonetheless prove transformative. But that will require statesmen to emerge amongst those (whomever they are) who win the election. It has happened before, of course. But there are also reasons that we have come to expect so little from politicians.